Study: Buy ALBK when RSI is above 50 and there is Bullish Crossover in MACD

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In this study, we evaluate the performance of strategy "Buy ALBK when RSI is above 50 and there is Bullish Crossover in MACD" under various conditions.

X Analysis

In the table below, we find out the performance of this trading strategy under following scenario: buy ALBK at the closing price whenever the signal triggers (Rs. 2Lac per trade). Then cover the position "X" trading days later at close_price i.e. sell after "X" trading days. Here are the results of this study:

X DaysNet ProfitTotal TradesWinning TradesLosing Trades% ProfitableAvg Winning TradeMax Winning TradeAvg Losing TradeMax Losing TradeWin/Loss RatioProfit FactorSharpe RatioAvg Trade
116062190504055.565526.545335.28-2892.59-9603.341.912.390.0641784.68
219586590513956.677261.7446647.23-4473.94-11785.711.622.120.0632176.28
314756590484253.338298.8737430.17-5970.96-16510.91.391.590.0421639.62
414307190484253.339383.0134985.42-7316.97-19061.171.281.470.0361589.68
516224090434747.7811585.740997.23-7147.76-28868.121.621.480.0361802.67
624452090513956.6712208.2342105.26-9694.88-31462.141.261.650.0462716.89
719452890474352.2214533.6945899.38-11361.76-34336.531.281.40.0322161.42
817383490444648.8916412.8969331.5-11920.27-38850.891.381.320.0261931.49
914580890414945.5619031.6769745-12948.79-55771.431.471.230.021620.09
1018535390484253.3316809.6867539.63-14797.9-45245.251.141.30.0252059.48

From the table above, we see that best results are achieved by holding positions for 1 trading days. Profit factor is 2.39. Strategy is showing mildly bullish results but we advice not to take a call solely on the basis of this study. Percentage of profitable trades is 55.56%, which is not acceptable. Avoid this strategy. Average return per trade is 0.89%, which is not very high, don't trade solely on the basis of this study. Sharpe Ratio is 0.064, which is low, don't trade solely on the basis of this study.
In the chart below, we plot cumulative trade gain versus trades. This chart is important and informative as it shows the performance of strategy over time.
ALBK Performance, X=1, Profit Factor:2.39

Yearwise Summary of trades in above chart

YearNumber of TradesTrade Dates
2019330 Jan 2019 (0.56%), 20 Feb 2019 (4.75%), 22 May 2019 (-4.8%)
2018624 Jan 2018 (-4.1%), 10 Jul 2018 (-2.09%), 24 Jul 2018 (-0.58%), 31 Aug 2018 (0.35%), 15 Oct 2018 (1.86%), 19 Nov 2018 (2.53%)
2017421 Mar 2017 (-2.61%), 25 Apr 2017 (1.06%), 24 Oct 2017 (22.67%), 22 Dec 2017 (-1.17%)
2016412 Apr 2016 (1.89%), 31 May 2016 (-2.82%), 23 Aug 2016 (1.37%), 24 Oct 2016 (-0.06%)
2015630 Apr 2015 (0.63%), 28 May 2015 (1.14%), 31 Jul 2015 (1.63%), 17 Aug 2015 (2.02%), 09 Nov 2015 (-2.05%), 27 Nov 2015 (1.85%)
2014425 Apr 2014 (2.58%), 16 May 2014 (9.56%), 11 Sep 2014 (1.33%), 02 Dec 2014 (2.12%)
2013520 May 2013 (-1.5%), 03 Oct 2013 (-1.11%), 24 Oct 2013 (-2.98%), 06 Dec 2013 (2.89%), 26 Dec 2013 (-0.53%)
2012208 Nov 2012 (-3.3%), 30 Nov 2012 (2.3%)
2011415 Feb 2011 (-0.75%), 03 Mar 2011 (-0.61%), 27 Jun 2011 (-1.7%), 01 Dec 2011 (2.3%)
2010905 Jan 2010 (1.36%), 03 Mar 2010 (1.59%), 05 Apr 2010 (5.56%), 20 Apr 2010 (0.43%), 31 May 2010 (-2.48%), 07 Jul 2010 (1.04%), 09 Sep 2010 (1.25%), 06 Oct 2010 (-0.91%), 25 Oct 2010 (-0.64%)
2009720 Jan 2009 (0.47%), 16 Feb 2009 (-0.3%), 17 Jul 2009 (9.6%), 21 Aug 2009 (0.28%), 04 Sep 2009 (1.29%), 16 Oct 2009 (0.55%), 10 Nov 2009 (-0.22%)
2008301 Jan 2008 (7.61%), 04 Sep 2008 (-1.67%), 23 Sep 2008 (1.4%)
2007612 Jan 2007 (-1.2%), 29 Jun 2007 (0.61%), 30 Aug 2007 (2.72%), 29 Oct 2007 (-0.15%), 14 Nov 2007 (3.69%), 05 Dec 2007 (-1.21%)
2006713 Feb 2006 (-1.94%), 20 Mar 2006 (-0.55%), 03 Apr 2006 (2.09%), 03 May 2006 (0.68%), 22 Jun 2006 (-0.85%), 14 Sep 2006 (2.21%), 13 Nov 2006 (1.32%)
2005728 Feb 2005 (0.69%), 07 Jun 2005 (5.66%), 23 Jun 2005 (-0.79%), 11 Jul 2005 (0.64%), 02 Sep 2005 (0.43%), 05 Oct 2005 (-1.55%), 14 Dec 2005 (-1.96%)
2004716 Feb 2004 (-1.16%), 26 Mar 2004 (6.0%), 04 May 2004 (4.8%), 01 Sep 2004 (-0.54%), 17 Sep 2004 (-0.67%), 08 Nov 2004 (-0.77%), 23 Dec 2004 (-4.16%)
2003602 May 2003 (3.82%), 26 May 2003 (0.0%), 04 Jul 2003 (1.13%), 21 Aug 2003 (-0.26%), 29 Sep 2003 (1.89%), 04 Dec 2003 (-1.12%)

Strategy Analysis - Exit Criteria

In the study above, exit criterion was that hold the position for "X" trading days. That's one possible exit criterion. However, we can have more elaborate exit criteria. Now we study this strategy under other exit criteria. There are 3 things which you must get to know before proceeding further. Table below shows the performance of this strategy under various exit combinations. Note that nil,nil,-1 is a special exit combination where we just take the best result of "X" Analysis study above.

Stop LossAdjust Stop LossTargetAvg Holding PeriodNet ProfitTotal TradesWinning TradesLosing Trades% ProfitableAvg Winning TradeMax Winning TradeAvg Losing TradeMax Losing TradeWin/Loss RatioProfit FactorSharpe RatioAvg Trade
nilnil-1116062190504055.565526.545335.28-2892.59-9603.341.912.390.0641784.68
atrtrail-15.5932408597405741.2416059.8964642.23-5584.39-11683.042.882.020.0533341.08
atrtrail23.98199157103445942.7212310.3123460.27-5805.04-11683.042.121.580.0471933.56
atrtrail34.5816338899405940.412420.1633198.47-5651.16-11683.042.21.490.0371650.39
atrnil37.7119808992296331.5223459.2233198.47-7654.42-11730.133.061.410.0362153.14
atrnil25.0517695210040604015700.7423460.27-7517.96-11683.042.091.390.0381769.52

In the table above, row 1 shows the best exit criterion. Profit factor is 2.39. Strategy is showing mildly bullish results but we advice not to take a call solely on the basis of this study. Percentage of profitable trades is 55.56%, which is not acceptable. Avoid this strategy. Average return per trade is 0.89%, which is not very high, don't trade solely on the basis of this study. Sharpe Ratio is 0.064, which is low, don't trade solely on the basis of this study.
Performance of strategy chart over time is same as above.

View performance of other stocks for this trading system.

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