Study: Sell IDFC when near 200 SMA and below 200 SMA and RSI is below 50 and ADX is Trending

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In this study, we evaluate the performance of strategy "Sell IDFC when near 200 SMA and below 200 SMA and RSI is below 50 and ADX is Trending" under various conditions.

X Analysis

In the table below, we find out the performance of this trading strategy under following scenario: sell IDFC at the closing price whenever the signal triggers (Rs. 2Lac per trade). Then cover the position "X" trading days later at close_price i.e. buy after "X" trading days. Here are the results of this study:

X DaysNet ProfitTotal TradesWinning TradesLosing Trades% ProfitableAvg Winning TradeMax Winning TradeAvg Losing TradeMax Losing TradeWin/Loss RatioProfit FactorSharpe RatioAvg Trade
17286.611064603342.336529.02-3191.84-6770.831.051.570.051728.66
226857.961082804205.2112611.61-3391.88-3993.061.244.960.172685.8
337555.61073707065.6711495.54-3968.03-4651.161.784.150.173755.56
439396.4210646010119.717410.71-5330.45-12465.121.92.850.123939.64
539702.651073708641.3919810.27-6929.03-11534.881.252.910.123970.27
644144.741073709857.4121933.96-8285.7-14668.451.192.780.114414.47
745360.4810646011297.8125000-5606.59-11386.472.023.020.114536.05
845569.6710646012600.6227845.98-7508.51-12465.121.682.520.0994556.97
949400.3110646012758.3226841.52-6787.41-14325.581.882.820.114940.03
1051925.6710646012404.5722321.43-5625.43-11534.882.213.310.135192.57

From the table above, we see that best results are achieved by holding positions for 2 trading days. Profit factor is 4.96. Strategy is very good and impressively bearish. Percentage of profitable trades is 80%, which is excellent. Average return per trade is 1.34%, which is not very high, but percentage of profitable trades compensates for it.
In the chart below, we plot cumulative trade gain versus trades. This chart is important and informative as it shows the performance of strategy over time.
IDFC Performance, X=2, Profit Factor:4.96

Yearwise Summary of trades in above chart

YearNumber of TradesTrade Dates
2019124 Apr 2019 (1.89%)
2017323 May 2017 (1.12%), 27 Jul 2017 (-2.0%), 16 Aug 2017 (1.59%)
2016130 Dec 2016 (-1.4%)
2015113 May 2015 (0.79%)
2013128 Feb 2013 (3.42%)
2011104 Jan 2011 (6.31%)
2010121 Dec 2010 (0.92%)
2006122 Jun 2006 (0.8%)

Strategy Analysis - Exit Criteria

In the study above, exit criterion was that hold the position for "X" trading days. That's one possible exit criterion. However, we can have more elaborate exit criteria. Now we study this strategy under other exit criteria. There are 3 things which you must get to know before proceeding further. Table below shows the performance of this strategy under various exit combinations. Note that nil,nil,-1 is a special exit combination where we just take the best result of "X" Analysis study above.

Stop LossAdjust Stop LossTargetAvg Holding PeriodNet ProfitTotal TradesWinning TradesLosing Trades% ProfitableAvg Winning TradeMax Winning TradeAvg Losing TradeMax Losing TradeWin/Loss RatioProfit FactorSharpe RatioAvg Trade
atrtrail-110.588573.72127558.3315566.4955254.99-4078.34-7579.933.825.340.127381.14
nilnil-1226857.961082804205.2112611.61-3391.88-3993.061.244.960.172685.8
atrnil210.269800.7710646016541.7628137.45-7362.45-7752.552.253.370.156980.08
atrtrail38.1747426.5127558.339688.3122200.33-4078.34-7579.932.383.330.123952.21
atrtrail26.7542171.23127558.338937.5614800.22-4078.34-7579.932.193.070.123514.27
200nil33.2327100.87135838.469794.6911974.05-2734.07-3487.033.582.240.0912084.68
atrnil317.7848233.2693633.3330069.0842206.18-6995.66-7752.554.32.150.085359.25
200trail32.5419982.87135838.467691.0711974.05-2309.06-3487.033.332.080.0761537.14
200trail-13.6216492.53135838.46699324320.87-2309.06-3487.033.031.890.0481268.66
200nil22.5717645.05146842.866426.97982.7-2614.55-3487.032.461.840.0751260.36
200trail2213734.45146842.865310.037982.7-2265.71-3487.032.341.760.065981.03

In the table above, row 2 shows the best exit criterion. Profit factor is 4.96. Strategy is very good and impressively bearish. Percentage of profitable trades is 80%, which is excellent. Average return per trade is 1.34%, which is not very high, but percentage of profitable trades compensates for it.
Performance of strategy chart over time is same as above.

View performance of other stocks for this trading system.

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