Study: Sell INDUSINDBK when RSI is below 50 and there is Dead Cross (50 DMA < 200 DMA)

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In this study, we evaluate the performance of strategy "Sell INDUSINDBK when RSI is below 50 and there is Dead Cross (50 DMA < 200 DMA)" under various conditions.

X Analysis

In the table below, we find out the performance of this trading strategy under following scenario: sell INDUSINDBK at the closing price whenever the signal triggers (Rs. 2Lac per trade). Then cover the position "X" trading days later at close_price i.e. buy after "X" trading days. Here are the results of this study:

X DaysNet ProfitTotal TradesWinning TradesLosing Trades% ProfitableAvg Winning TradeMax Winning TradeAvg Losing TradeMax Losing TradeWin/Loss RatioProfit FactorSharpe RatioAvg Trade
134874.58116554.557578.2816141.31-2119.02-3344.153.584.290.123170.42
250271.5118372.738409.7913454.01-5668.93-10889.941.483.960.144570.14
315273.02116554.558911.3513832.23-7639.02-16230.781.171.40.0341388.46
412354.43117463.648279.5514440.68-11400.6-19452.440.731.270.0241123.13
5-6204.45117463.647962.8616604.3-15486.11-24389.050.510.9-0.01-564.04
6-30571.44115645.458013.4720790.26-11773.14-25650.760.680.57-0.05-2779.22
7-22382.26115645.4510984.0426942.35-12883.74-28933.670.850.71-0.03-2034.75
8-29225.97116554.556958.2819230.04-14195.13-27169.720.490.59-0.047-2656.91
9-48166.78115645.459918.5119622.64-16293.22-27034.970.610.51-0.065-4378.8
10-75741.97114736.369034.5219622.64-15982.87-35007.540.570.32-0.097-6885.63

From the table above, we see that best results are achieved by holding positions for 1 trading days. Profit factor is 4.29. Strategy is very good and impressively bearish. Percentage of profitable trades is 54.55%, which is not acceptable. Avoid this strategy. Average return per trade is 1.59%, which is not very high, don't trade solely on the basis of this study.
In the chart below, we plot cumulative trade gain versus trades. This chart is important and informative as it shows the performance of strategy over time.
INDUSINDBK Performance, X=1, Profit Factor:4.29

Yearwise Summary of trades in above chart

YearNumber of TradesTrade Dates
2019113 Jun 2019 (4.17%)
2018119 Oct 2018 (8.07%)
2016126 Feb 2016 (-1.67%)
2013123 Aug 2013 (-1.19%)
2011224 Feb 2011 (3.62%), 29 Dec 2011 (2.63%)
2005124 Nov 2005 (-0.98%)
2004109 Sep 2004 (0.85%)
2002128 Oct 2002 (-1.46%)
2001123 Jul 2001 (3.4%)
1998120 Nov 1998 (-0.0%)

Strategy Analysis - Exit Criteria

In the study above, exit criterion was that hold the position for "X" trading days. That's one possible exit criterion. However, we can have more elaborate exit criteria. Now we study this strategy under other exit criteria. There are 3 things which you must get to know before proceeding further. Table below shows the performance of this strategy under various exit combinations. Note that nil,nil,-1 is a special exit combination where we just take the best result of "X" Analysis study above.

Stop LossAdjust Stop LossTargetAvg Holding PeriodNet ProfitTotal TradesWinning TradesLosing Trades% ProfitableAvg Winning TradeMax Winning TradeAvg Losing TradeMax Losing TradeWin/Loss RatioProfit FactorSharpe RatioAvg Trade
nilnil-1134874.58116554.557578.2816141.31-2119.02-3344.153.584.290.123170.42
atrnil28.1476148.32146842.8623842.2746143.67-8363.16-11199.432.852.140.0695439.17
atrnil311.1565253.16134930.7736510.7369215.5-8976.64-13957.814.071.810.0475019.47
atrtrail24.7137472.39146842.8615190.8527915.61-6709.09-11199.432.261.70.0482676.6
atrtrail-16.2321242.42135838.4613284.0442233.37-5647.22-11199.432.351.470.0271634.03
atrtrail35.549906.87135838.4611016.9330897.83-5647.22-11199.431.951.220.016762.07

In the table above, row 1 shows the best exit criterion. Profit factor is 4.29. Strategy is very good and impressively bearish. Percentage of profitable trades is 54.55%, which is not acceptable. Avoid this strategy. Average return per trade is 1.59%, which is not very high, don't trade solely on the basis of this study.
Performance of strategy chart over time is same as above.

View performance of other stocks for this trading system.

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