Study: Sell KSCL when there is Dead Cross (50 DMA < 200 DMA)

home > technical-strategy > kscl > 49

In this study, we evaluate the performance of strategy "Sell KSCL when there is Dead Cross (50 DMA < 200 DMA)" under various conditions.

X Analysis

In the table below, we find out the performance of this trading strategy under following scenario: sell KSCL at the closing price whenever the signal triggers (Rs. 2Lac per trade). Then cover the position "X" trading days later at close_price i.e. buy after "X" trading days. Here are the results of this study:

X DaysNet ProfitTotal TradesWinning TradesLosing Trades% ProfitableAvg Winning TradeMax Winning TradeAvg Losing TradeMax Losing TradeWin/Loss RatioProfit FactorSharpe RatioAvg Trade
1-8192.1595455.564765.819294.42-8005.3-23889.640.60.74-0.029-910.24
2-38842.9493633.333358.786203.41-8153.21-22745.630.410.21-0.15-4315.88
3-36889.2293633.335797.718835.71-9047.06-19515.480.640.32-0.14-4098.8
4-28305.3392722.228328.648541.19-6423.23-13526.241.30.37-0.12-3145.04
5-39126.7592722.2212270.1813584.91-9095.3-22010.361.350.39-0.12-4347.42
6-70958.192722.2213741.1315038.63-14062.91-31036.140.980.28-0.17-7884.23
7-66193.592722.221403915855.27-13467.36-30329.321.040.3-0.15-7354.83
8-55115.4392722.221541215885.87-12277.06-27759.041.260.36-0.13-6123.94
9-48942.8693633.3311325.5117086.5-13819.9-28433.730.820.41-0.11-5438.1
10-48076.2593633.3312650.3714234.56-14337.89-30908.660.880.44-0.1-5341.81

From the table above, we see that best results are achieved by holding positions for 1 trading days. Profit factor is 0.74. Number of signals (total trades) generated is low, don't trade solely on the basis of this study. This strategy is not profitable and we advice you not to use it.

Strategy Analysis - Exit Criteria

In the study above, exit criterion was that hold the position for "X" trading days. That's one possible exit criterion. However, we can have more elaborate exit criteria. Now we study this strategy under other exit criteria. There are 3 things which you must get to know before proceeding further. Table below shows the performance of this strategy under various exit combinations. Note that nil,nil,-1 is a special exit combination where we just take the best result of "X" Analysis study above.

Stop LossAdjust Stop LossTargetAvg Holding PeriodNet ProfitTotal TradesWinning TradesLosing Trades% ProfitableAvg Winning TradeMax Winning TradeAvg Losing TradeMax Losing TradeWin/Loss RatioProfit FactorSharpe RatioAvg Trade
nilnil-11-8192.1595455.564765.819294.42-8005.3-23889.640.60.74-0.029-910.24
atrtrail23.82-84666.97112918.1810233.0819002.06-11681.46-35973.850.880.19-0.19-7697
atrnil39.45-123332111109.0928503.0928503.09-15183.47-39122.851.880.19-0.2-11211.97
atrnil26.73-132833111109.0919002.0619002.06-15183.47-39122.851.250.13-0.24-12075.7
atrtrail34.73-94579.6112918.185276.769089.44-11681.46-35973.850.450.1-0.24-8598.15
atrtrail-14.73-94579.6112918.185276.769089.44-11681.46-35973.850.450.1-0.24-8598.15

In the table above, row 1 shows the best exit criterion. Profit factor is 0.74. Number of signals (total trades) generated is low, don't trade solely on the basis of this study. This strategy is not profitable and we advice you not to use it.
In the chart below, we plot cumulative trade gain versus trades using the best exit criterion.
KSCL Performance, X=1, Profit Factor:0.744

Yearwise Summary of trades in above chart

YearNumber of TradesTrade Dates
2019122 Feb 2019 (2.15%)
2018122 Nov 2018 (0.49%)
2017210 Jan 2017 (-2.77%), 18 Oct 2017 (0.92%)
2016109 Sep 2016 (4.65%)
2015122 Jun 2015 (-0.06%)
2014110 Feb 2014 (3.71%)
2011124 Mar 2011 (-1.24%)
2008110 Oct 2008 (-11.94%)



View performance of other stocks for this trading system.

Get Clearnifty's Android App.

Get clearnifty on Google Play
Get clearnifty on Google Play