Study: Sell RCOM when near 200 SMA and below 200 SMA

home > technical-strategy > rcom > 1

In this study, we evaluate the performance of strategy "Sell RCOM when near 200 SMA and below 200 SMA" under various conditions.

X Analysis

In the table below, we find out the performance of this trading strategy under following scenario: sell RCOM at the closing price whenever the signal triggers (Rs. 2Lac per trade). Then cover the position "X" trading days later at close_price i.e. buy after "X" trading days. Here are the results of this study:

X DaysNet ProfitTotal TradesWinning TradesLosing Trades% ProfitableAvg Winning TradeMax Winning TradeAvg Losing TradeMax Losing TradeWin/Loss RatioProfit FactorSharpe RatioAvg Trade
Although, strategy looks good but profit factor on day 2 is less than minimum accepted value so avoid this, see below for further analysis.

Strategy Analysis - Exit Criteria

In the study above, exit criterion was that hold the position for "X" trading days. That's one possible exit criterion. However, we can have more elaborate exit criteria. Now we study this strategy under other exit criteria. There are 3 things which you must get to know before proceeding further. Table below shows the performance of this strategy under various exit combinations. Note that nil,nil,-1 is a special exit combination where we just take the best result of "X" Analysis study above.

Stop LossAdjust Stop LossTargetAvg Holding PeriodNet ProfitTotal TradesWinning TradesLosing Trades% ProfitableAvg Winning TradeMax Winning TradeAvg Losing TradeMax Losing TradeWin/Loss RatioProfit FactorSharpe RatioAvg Trade

In the table above, row 1 shows the best exit criterion. Profit factor is 2.01. Strategy is showing mildly bearish results but we advice not to take a call solely on the basis of this study. Percentage of profitable trades is 41.18%, which is not acceptable. Avoid this strategy. Average return per trade is 3.04%, which is very good. Sharpe Ratio is 0.083, which is low, don't trade solely on the basis of this study. Average holding period is on the higher side, note this before entering the trade that you you may need to hold the positions for a longer time.
In the chart below, we plot cumulative trade gain versus trades using the best exit criterion.
RCOM Performance, Profit Factor:2.01

Yearwise Summary of trades in above chart

YearNumber of TradesTrade Dates
2018128 Mar 2018 (-9.07%)
2015113 Nov 2015 (-5.92%)
2014417 Jan 2014 (-3.73%), 17 Apr 2014 (11.35%), 25 Jul 2014 (-4.29%), 04 Aug 2014 (11.84%)
2013308 Mar 2013 (-5.37%), 18 Mar 2013 (15.14%), 03 Apr 2013 (-6.78%)
2012113 Apr 2012 (-4.7%)
2010423 Jun 2010 (-4.52%), 03 Aug 2010 (10.21%), 22 Sep 2010 (-3.34%), 12 Nov 2010 (9.33%)
2009117 Oct 2009 (18.94%)
2008114 Feb 2008 (26.14%)
2007118 Apr 2007 (-3.59%)

View performance of other stocks for this trading system.

Get Clearnifty's Android App.

Get clearnifty on Google Play
Get clearnifty on Google Play